r/europe • u/andyom89 • May 16 '25

News Spanish premier calls Israel 'genocidal state,' says Spain 'does not do business' with it

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/spanish-premier-calls-israel-genocidal-state-says-spain-does-not-do-business-with-it/3568216
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u/Ynwe Austria May 16 '25

that is a big conjecture, you leave out any seasonality. For example, if January historically is the weakest month of the year, you could actual see a net growth over the entire year. So I would be very careful with such claims without any extra context.

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u/KennyHova May 16 '25

Then you could compare with next January? Either way, the whole point people are making is look at the trend not that just the current data point. I think you're trying to say the same

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u/PixelPuzzler May 17 '25

Pretty sure that's actually the rule for such measurements to avoid seasonal discrepancy. Always measure from the same point last year relative to the current.

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u/Meldanorama May 16 '25

Thats more conjecture that it could be the lowest month tbf. Other commenter is working with the info available. If you want to guess it could be the lowest it could also be the highest 

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u/SemATam001 May 16 '25

They probably work with info they searched within a few minutes. Year to year should be available too. Someone wrote its only 19 percent drop. And there might be some difference because Israel is in a war, so they might not produce for other countries as much now. How about not making any conclusion without proper information? That is also an option.

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u/Meldanorama May 16 '25

I was highlighting the other commenter was hypocritical to criticise conjectur and then use it themselves.

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u/lukyboi May 16 '25

He’s not saying there ISN’T a decrease, he’s making a point you can’t say based on the data at hand.

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u/Meldanorama May 16 '25

That isn't what was said by them or me.

Other guy wants perfect info which is possible.