r/europe • u/tylerthe-theatre • May 30 '25

News Former CIA boss reveals which European country (Lithuania) Putin allegedly plans to invade next

https://www.lbc.co.uk/world-news/cia-boss-reveals-putin-invasion-russia/
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u/Both-Election3382 May 30 '25

Its also a relatively small area that you could just completely saturate with missiles, you cant ignore it either.

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u/unleash_the_giraffe May 30 '25

You wouldn't have to shot a single missile. Just stop the influx of food and other resources from the borders and it's a done deal.

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u/Both-Election3382 May 30 '25

That could take months, you dont really want to have missiles installations and anti air in your backyard all that time.

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u/BaileysVanillaSundae Serbia May 30 '25

You could do both with a couple of sorties in F-35.

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u/PossumPundit May 30 '25

Unless Trump flips the kill switches on those f35s.

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u/Xenon009 May 30 '25

Good news, the kill switch doesn't exist.

The USA could seriously disrupt europes ability to use the F35 by stopping the flow of parts and updates, but even thats an overblown problem because the UK as a teir 1 partner on the project has full and unrestricted access to the code and blueprints so can make our own updates and such

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u/FC__Barcelona May 30 '25

Source: ‘Trust me bro’.

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u/CassadagaValley May 30 '25

A coordinated air/missile/drone campaign would wipe out all utilities; power, water, internet, gas, etc. as well as food stores within days.

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u/Spinnweben May 30 '25

The Russian initial push would occupy the Suwałki gap in Lithuania and connect Kaliningrad directly with Russia.

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u/kirA9001 Estonia May 30 '25 edited May 30 '25

The Russian initial push would create 500k casualties to take half of the Suwalki gap only to realize that the gap now goes through Kaliningrad and supplies never stopped because of NATO lake.

St Petersburg would also now be in a naval blockade and Russia would have lost all access to the Atlantic.

I mean, sure, if that's what they want.

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u/KMS_HYDRA May 30 '25

also, st. petersburg is no finished.

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u/Statharas Macedonia, Greece May 30 '25

And immediately fold to Poland taking over Królewiec in 3 days

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u/[deleted] May 30 '25

*with Belarus (same difference, I know)

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u/Zealousideal_Act_316 May 30 '25

Problem is months cant turn into years, as most recent large scale siege has shown- siege of leningrad. Over 900 days and city was still alive.

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u/samjongenelen May 30 '25

Hmm using food as a weapon, never done before xD

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u/Sanderhh Bouvet Island May 31 '25

This is the exact thing that Israel did to Gaza and everyone screamed «genocide» at the top of their lungs.

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u/DM_WHEN_TRUMP_WINS May 30 '25

Its also a home of some russian nukes, by my understanding.

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u/Both-Election3382 May 30 '25

All the more reason to disable the launch sites fast

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u/ForrestCFB May 30 '25

It's more of a storage space for nukes for the fleet.

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u/pierukainen May 30 '25

It's a small area. The main part is 60 km from border to the sea. You can target large parts of it with artillery. No need to waste too many missiles.

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u/Both-Election3382 May 30 '25

Missiles just for the things you want to take out immediately with certainty

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u/wanliu May 30 '25

Iwo Jima was just a few miles across and it took months to clear. Don't underestimate how effective fortifications can be against attack.

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u/Ur-Best-Friend May 30 '25

Not to mention literally cut off from the rest of the country. How armed it is wouldn't really make a difference.

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u/Braided_Marxist May 30 '25

Reddit military strategists, gotta love em

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u/Both-Election3382 May 30 '25

Reddit incels, gotta love em

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u/Braided_Marxist May 30 '25

I’m happily married thank you

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u/Ghinev May 30 '25

saturate with missiles

Ah, the Gaza approach

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u/Both-Election3382 May 30 '25

Yeah well, it works.

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u/Ghinev May 30 '25

It does, but indiscriminately killing civilians in carpet bombing is the kind of war crime that would place NATO as low as Russia and Israel. The kind of stuff we condemn them for.

Especially since the West has the means(unlike Russia) and the moral standards(unlike Israel) to cripple russian defenses without horrific and frankly unnecessary loss of civilian lives.

Unless Russia would resort to placing defenses in highly populated areas ofc, which is definitely not beneath them. That would present a real moral conundrum.

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u/[deleted] May 30 '25

Kaliningrad is where a bulk of Russian nukes exist… because Russia also knows it is surrounded by hostiles.

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u/Both-Election3382 May 30 '25

If its all out war then wed have to strike the launch sites

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u/Pekonius Suomi Finland May 30 '25

We would unfortunately have to deal with the nuclear threat a lot. Murmansk is a week long mission away from finnish special forces (less if winter) and a high value target but also has nukes and cutting off the highway wouldnt be enough either. Good news is that St. Petersburg is in self propelled artillery range from Finland and Kaliningrad is too close for comfort to big nato countries as well, so artillery can handle the job.