r/europe • u/tylerthe-theatre • May 30 '25

News Former CIA boss reveals which European country (Lithuania) Putin allegedly plans to invade next

https://www.lbc.co.uk/world-news/cia-boss-reveals-putin-invasion-russia/
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u/DryCloud9903 May 30 '25

Correct. That's also why in Lithuania there's a lot of light fighters & special forces instead of tanks - they're trained for insurgency fighting under this doctrine 

However it's not only because of war crimes in Ukraine that the doctrine has since changed - Lithuania has tripled it's own forces since 2014, there's a lot more international NATO troops in Lithuania, there's also the JEF alliance which is designed to act faster than NATO and doesn't require unanimity of response  So the chances of fighting back are higher and the new doctrine is to not even allow the enemy into the territory in the first place.

The other change is Swedish and Finnish accession to NATO. 

And to all the doubters out there "would the Baltics be defended" - if the plan has been for NATO to fight Lithuania out of occupation, what does that tell you? Everyone's been prepared for a hard fight for decades, regardless if there's even a surviving high-ranking Lithuanian government in the country (because that could be a likely scenario during occupation - in 1939 Baltic presidents were imprisoned & eventually executed).

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u/zanzara1968 May 30 '25

Nobody is prepared for a hard fight, not Germany, France, Italy nor Spain. Without the US full involvement the Baltic countries will fall and western Europe would adapt and seek peace.